National Polls

Two new polls released regarding the Democratic match up between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. First, from Gallup (4/4-6):

http://www.gallup.com/poll/106282/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Moves-9point-Lead-Over-Clinton.aspx

Obama: 52%
Clinton: 43%
MoE: +/- 4%

And Rasmussen:

http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Obama: 51%
Clinton: 41%
MoE: +/- 3%

Take polls for what they are, but I find this to be worth noting. Both polls showed a gradual rise of support for Obama starting from April 4th. What is the significance of April 4th? That was when the Clintons had finally released their tax returns dating from 2000 to 2006. Maybe some people did not like the fact that they had made nearly $109 million (most likely blue collar folks).

As noted from both polls, neither candidate has held a statistically significant lead for a prolonged time (more than a couple of days). If Obama can sustain a significant lead for more than a week or so, then that should put to rest any lingering jitters about Obama and who the nominee should be. If we see this, then super delegates will start flodding to Obama. We'll see what happens in the next couple of days....